NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU URI
Points 68.4 81.2
Total Points   149.6
Points From 2-Pointers 40.0 43.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 16.7
Points From Free Throws 11.8 20.7
Shooting LIU URI
Field Goals Made 25.5 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 54.2
Field Goal % 41.7% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 11.8 20.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 31.2
Free Throw % 66.9% 66.1%
Ball Control LIU URI
Rebounds 30.7 40.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 10.2
Turnovers 9.5 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.4
Steals 6.0 5.3
Fouls 19.3 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: LIU

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU URI
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 72.8
% of Possessions with LIU URI
2 Point Attempt 52.3% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 20.4%
Player Fouled 19.4% 26.5%
Turnover 13.0% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU URI
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 31.2%