NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU SFPA
Points 68.8 69.2
Total Points   138.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 15.2 16.3
Points From Free Throws 14.1 14.9
Shooting LIU SFPA
Field Goals Made 24.8 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 56.7
Field Goal % 44.6% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 14.1 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 24.8
Free Throw % 66.9% 60.1%
Ball Control LIU SFPA
Rebounds 34.4 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 12.2
Turnovers 11.4 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.6
Steals 5.9 6.3
Fouls 16.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: St Fran (PA)

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU SFPA
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 71.9
% of Possessions with LIU SFPA
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 19.3% 21.1%
Player Fouled 21.9% 23.5%
Turnover 16.1% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU SFPA
Shot Blocked 8.2% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 32.1%