NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU SJU
Points 57.0 91.2
Total Points   148.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 52.4
Points From 3-Pointers 13.5 17.5
Points From Free Throws 12.6 21.3
Shooting LIU SJU
Field Goals Made 20.0 32.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 61.8
Field Goal % 34.4% 51.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 26.2
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 43.3
2 Point Shooting % 35.9% 60.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 15.0 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 12.6 21.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 28.8
Free Throw % 66.9% 74.2%
Ball Control LIU SJU
Rebounds 27.3 47.3
Rebounds - Defensive 19.2 32.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 15.0
Turnovers 13.5 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.1 7.9
Steals 5.5 7.6
Fouls 17.3 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: St Johns

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU SJU
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 79.9
% of Possessions with LIU SJU
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 17.7% 20.7%
Player Fouled 20.1% 23.6%
Turnover 18.3% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU SJU
Shot Blocked 12.9% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 44.0%