NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU WAG
Points 62.5 67.5
Total Points   130.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 14.1 17.2
Points From Free Throws 11.1 13.7
Shooting LIU WAG
Field Goals Made 23.4 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 59.3
Field Goal % 41.9% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 27.4% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 11.1 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 19.7
Free Throw % 66.9% 69.5%
Ball Control LIU WAG
Rebounds 35.6 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 10.8
Turnovers 10.6 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.1
Steals 4.0 6.1
Fouls 14.3 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: LIU

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU WAG
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 71.3
% of Possessions with LIU WAG
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 24.9%
Player Fouled 19.8% 20.9%
Turnover 15.4% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU WAG
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 28.0%