NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU
Points 62.4 65.7
Total Points   128.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 13.0 17.7
Points From Free Throws 12.5 15.6
Shooting LIU
Field Goals Made 22.8 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 57.3
Field Goal % 40.5% 38.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 44.4 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 41.6% 40.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.3 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 11.8 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 12.5 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 22.7
Free Throw % 66.9% 68.9%
Ball Control LIU
Rebounds 35.6 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 12.1
Turnovers 12.7 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.1 5.7
Steals 5.7 7.5
Fouls 16.6 13.8

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 71.7
% of Possessions with LIU
2 Point Attempt 54.1% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 14.4% 20.9%
Player Fouled 19.4% 23.4%
Turnover 17.9% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU
Shot Blocked 10.1% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 31.0%