NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU MW
Points 59.3 71.7
Total Points   131.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 11.4 18.1
Points From Free Throws 12.3 17.5
Shooting LIU MW
Field Goals Made 21.6 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 53.9
Field Goal % 39.6% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.6 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 42.8% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 3.8 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 13.0 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 28.8%
Free Throws Made 12.3 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 23.4
Free Throw % 66.9% 74.8%
Ball Control LIU MW
Rebounds 36.6 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 6.6
Turnovers 16.1 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.3
Steals 6.2 10.5
Fouls 17.6 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Merrimack

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU MW
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 67.8
% of Possessions with LIU MW
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 15.5% 26.2%
Player Fouled 19.2% 24.3%
Turnover 22.2% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 14.4% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU MW
Shot Blocked 8.1% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 19.8%