NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WICH CIN
Points 63.2 78.5
Total Points   141.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 43.9
Points From 3-Pointers 15.6 23.5
Points From Free Throws 10.7 11.0
Shooting WICH CIN
Field Goals Made 23.7 29.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 67.4
Field Goal % 38.9% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 22.0
2 Pointers Attempted 44.5 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 41.6% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 10.7 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 15.9
Free Throw % 69.7% 68.9%
Ball Control WICH CIN
Rebounds 34.4 44.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 15.1
Turnovers 11.3 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 5.9
Steals 5.5 7.0
Fouls 12.1 11.5

Playing Style Advantage: Cincinnati

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WICH CIN
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 77.6
% of Possessions with WICH CIN
2 Point Attempt 53.5% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 27.2%
Player Fouled 16.1% 16.9%
Turnover 15.8% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WICH CIN
Shot Blocked 8.9% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 37.6%