NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WICH USF
Points 68.8 74.5
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 26.9
Points From Free Throws 11.9 14.1
Shooting WICH USF
Field Goals Made 25.6 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 60.7
Field Goal % 42.7% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 11.9 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 19.5
Free Throw % 69.7% 72.6%
Ball Control WICH USF
Rebounds 39.0 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 9.7
Turnovers 11.6 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.8
Steals 5.3 7.3
Fouls 14.8 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: S Florida

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WICH USF
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 72.3
% of Possessions with WICH USF
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 30.5%
Player Fouled 18.1% 20.8%
Turnover 16.2% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WICH USF
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 25.7%