NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WICH TLSA
Points 73.3 70.6
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 41.9 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 20.8
Points From Free Throws 13.1 15.1
Shooting WICH TLSA
Field Goals Made 27.0 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 58.2
Field Goal % 44.5% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 13.1 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 20.5
Free Throw % 69.7% 73.6%
Ball Control WICH TLSA
Rebounds 39.9 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.0
Turnovers 11.6 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.2
Steals 6.4 7.9
Fouls 15.0 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Tulsa

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WICH TLSA
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 70.6
% of Possessions with WICH TLSA
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 27.8%
Player Fouled 18.5% 20.5%
Turnover 15.8% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WICH TLSA
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 21.6%