NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WICH ECU
Points 71.6 69.1
Total Points   140.7
Points From 2-Pointers 41.0 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 20.3
Points From Free Throws 11.1 12.4
Shooting WICH ECU
Field Goals Made 27.0 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 61.7
Field Goal % 46.6% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 11.1 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 18.0
Free Throw % 69.7% 68.6%
Ball Control WICH ECU
Rebounds 38.2 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 11.8
Turnovers 11.6 8.5
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.3
Steals 5.3 8.2
Fouls 12.7 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Wichita St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WICH ECU
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 72.5
% of Possessions with WICH ECU
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 26.3%
Player Fouled 17.5% 18.4%
Turnover 16.7% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WICH ECU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 29.9%