NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTM CMU
Points 74.3 72.9
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.8 24.2
Points From Free Throws 14.8 10.3
Shooting UTM CMU
Field Goals Made 25.3 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 65.3 66.4
Field Goal % 38.8% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.4% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 29.0%
Free Throws Made 14.8 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 15.3
Free Throw % 75.6% 67.1%
Ball Control UTM CMU
Rebounds 43.4 40.3
Rebounds - Defensive 31.5 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 10.2
Turnovers 8.6 7.9
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.9
Steals 4.3 4.9
Fouls 12.4 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Central Mich

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTM CMU
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 76.6 75.5
% of Possessions with UTM CMU
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 32.9%
Player Fouled 18.7% 17.0%
Turnover 11.7% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTM CMU
Shot Blocked 7.5% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 24.4%