NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTM SIUE
Points 80.7 74.6
Total Points   155.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.4 27.4
Points From Free Throws 17.6 11.6
Shooting UTM SIUE
Field Goals Made 26.8 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 67.1
Field Goal % 45.2% 40.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 40.1% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 17.6 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 15.9
Free Throw % 75.6% 73.2%
Ball Control UTM SIUE
Rebounds 40.5 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 32.1 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 10.3
Turnovers 9.7 7.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.9
Steals 4.4 5.6
Fouls 12.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: TN Martin

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTM SIUE
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 76.6
% of Possessions with UTM SIUE
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 34.5%
Player Fouled 21.3% 16.8%
Turnover 13.1% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTM SIUE
Shot Blocked 7.4% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 24.3%