NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTM TNTC
Points 80.1 72.2
Total Points   152.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 38.3
Points From 3-Pointers 28.2 24.6
Points From Free Throws 12.4 9.3
Shooting UTM TNTC
Field Goals Made 29.1 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 63.0 62.1
Field Goal % 46.3% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 12.4 9.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 13.3
Free Throw % 75.6% 69.5%
Ball Control UTM TNTC
Rebounds 39.8 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 31.1 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 5.8
Turnovers 8.7 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.9
Steals 5.3 4.4
Fouls 12.2 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: TN Tech

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTM TNTC
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 69.8
% of Possessions with UTM TNTC
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 31.2%
Player Fouled 17.9% 16.8%
Turnover 12.0% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTM TNTC
Shot Blocked 4.7% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 15.7%