NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STONE
Points 68.5 63.9
Total Points   132.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 28.3
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 28.6
Points From Free Throws 8.1 7.0
Shooting STONE
Field Goals Made 25.6 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 55.5
Field Goal % 44.7% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 26.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 28.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 8.1 7.0
Free Throws Attempted 11.7 11.5
Free Throw % 69.1% 60.7%
Ball Control STONE
Rebounds 33.3 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 8.2
Turnovers 11.3 13.2
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.9
Steals 6.3 6.2
Fouls 12.0 11.9

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STONE
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 63.4
% of Possessions with STONE
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 34.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.0% 37.4%
Player Fouled 17.4% 17.5%
Turnover 16.6% 19.3%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken STONE
Shot Blocked 7.2% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 23.7%