NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTM LNDNWD
Points 82.6 66.5
Total Points   149.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 28.0 18.1
Points From Free Throws 17.7 13.0
Shooting UTM LNDNWD
Field Goals Made 27.8 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 62.7
Field Goal % 48.0% 37.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 43.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 40.5% 27.1%
Free Throws Made 17.7 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 17.8
Free Throw % 75.6% 72.6%
Ball Control UTM LNDNWD
Rebounds 41.7 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 33.3 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 8.2
Turnovers 9.8 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.8
Steals 4.7 5.2
Fouls 14.1 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: TN Martin

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTM LNDNWD
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 73.2
% of Possessions with UTM LNDNWD
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 27.0%
Player Fouled 22.2% 19.2%
Turnover 13.4% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTM LNDNWD
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 19.7%