NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTM EIU
Points 80.6 72.2
Total Points   152.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 21.3
Points From Free Throws 16.7 10.6
Shooting UTM EIU
Field Goals Made 27.5 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 66.9
Field Goal % 47.8% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 44.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 16.7 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 14.4
Free Throw % 75.6% 73.7%
Ball Control UTM EIU
Rebounds 40.4 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 32.2 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 9.3
Turnovers 10.7 7.1
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.9
Steals 4.0 6.5
Fouls 11.5 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: TN Martin

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTM EIU
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 75.3
% of Possessions with UTM EIU
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 52.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 27.3%
Player Fouled 22.8% 15.7%
Turnover 14.6% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTM EIU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 22.4%