NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STONE
Points 63.9 68.1
Total Points   132.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 28.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 28.1
Points From Free Throws 8.9 11.5
Shooting STONE
Field Goals Made 23.9 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 57.8
Field Goal % 43.0% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 41.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 8.9 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 12.9 16.7
Free Throw % 69.1% 68.9%
Ball Control STONE
Rebounds 31.7 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 12.0
Turnovers 12.7 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.1 5.2
Steals 5.4 7.2
Fouls 13.5 12.5

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STONE
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 62.9 69.1
% of Possessions with STONE
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 29.0%
Player Fouled 18.1% 19.6%
Turnover 18.5% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken STONE
Shot Blocked 9.1% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 32.3%