NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKLA BAY
Points 72.7 76.5
Total Points   149.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 22.4
Points From Free Throws 15.0 16.4
Shooting OKLA BAY
Field Goals Made 25.4 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 55.2
Field Goal % 47.2% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 15.0 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 22.5
Free Throw % 73.5% 73.1%
Ball Control OKLA BAY
Rebounds 30.4 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.3
Turnovers 10.7 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.0
Steals 5.2 6.6
Fouls 16.4 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKLA BAY
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 68.9
% of Possessions with OKLA BAY
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 26.8%
Player Fouled 23.7% 23.7%
Turnover 15.5% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKLA BAY
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 28.9%