NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKLA NEB
Points 74.3 74.6
Total Points   148.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 27.1 25.3
Points From Free Throws 13.9 14.5
Shooting OKLA NEB
Field Goals Made 25.6 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 58.0
Field Goal % 43.0% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.8 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 13.9 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 19.0
Free Throw % 73.5% 76.0%
Ball Control OKLA NEB
Rebounds 37.8 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 7.7
Turnovers 10.3 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.4
Steals 5.0 6.0
Fouls 14.4 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKLA NEB
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 69.3
% of Possessions with OKLA NEB
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 32.2%
Player Fouled 19.9% 20.2%
Turnover 14.5% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKLA NEB
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 22.2%