NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKLA NEB
Points 73.0 74.3
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 25.8
Points From Free Throws 13.9 14.0
Shooting OKLA NEB
Field Goals Made 25.1 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 57.9
Field Goal % 42.0% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 13.9 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 18.6
Free Throw % 73.5% 75.3%
Ball Control OKLA NEB
Rebounds 38.1 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 7.6
Turnovers 10.3 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.5
Steals 5.2 6.0
Fouls 14.1 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKLA NEB
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 69.0
% of Possessions with OKLA NEB
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 33.1%
Player Fouled 19.8% 19.9%
Turnover 14.5% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKLA NEB
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 22.1%