NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKLA OKST
Points 76.4 68.3
Total Points   144.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.2 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 21.0
Points From Free Throws 13.5 13.4
Shooting OKLA OKST
Field Goals Made 28.0 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 55.3
Field Goal % 49.2% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 29.9%
Free Throws Made 13.5 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 18.8
Free Throw % 73.5% 71.2%
Ball Control OKLA OKST
Rebounds 35.5 30.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 7.6
Turnovers 10.3 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.8
Steals 6.3 6.1
Fouls 14.6 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKLA OKST
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 66.6
% of Possessions with OKLA OKST
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 29.9%
Player Fouled 22.0% 21.0%
Turnover 14.8% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKLA OKST
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 22.3%