NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKLA UCF
Points 68.6 68.7
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 28.1 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 17.7
Points From Free Throws 19.3 15.0
Shooting OKLA UCF
Field Goals Made 21.1 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 50.6 57.0
Field Goal % 41.7% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 30.0 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 19.3 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 26.2 21.9
Free Throw % 73.5% 68.6%
Ball Control OKLA UCF
Rebounds 35.5 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 10.1
Turnovers 12.8 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.7 5.2
Steals 4.8 8.4
Fouls 15.6 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKLA UCF
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 70.6
% of Possessions with OKLA UCF
2 Point Attempt 37.0% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 24.1%
Player Fouled 25.9% 22.1%
Turnover 18.2% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKLA UCF
Shot Blocked 9.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 27.3%