NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKLA TEX
Points 70.0 73.8
Total Points   143.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 42.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 18.5
Points From Free Throws 16.0 13.2
Shooting OKLA TEX
Field Goals Made 23.8 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 58.0
Field Goal % 43.9% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 16.0 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 17.3
Free Throw % 73.5% 76.5%
Ball Control OKLA TEX
Rebounds 34.0 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 8.0
Turnovers 11.5 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.3
Steals 4.6 6.8
Fouls 14.2 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKLA TEX
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 68.4
% of Possessions with OKLA TEX
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 24.5%
Player Fouled 23.4% 20.4%
Turnover 16.5% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKLA TEX
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 24.3%