NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKLA UNT
Points 70.8 65.8
Total Points   136.6
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.1 20.8
Points From Free Throws 16.6 12.5
Shooting OKLA UNT
Field Goals Made 23.6 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 50.8 55.9
Field Goal % 46.4% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 16.6 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 16.7
Free Throw % 73.5% 75.1%
Ball Control OKLA UNT
Rebounds 35.6 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 20.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 8.8
Turnovers 11.2 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.1
Steals 5.0 6.9
Fouls 13.2 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKLA UNT
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 65.9
% of Possessions with OKLA UNT
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 27.2%
Player Fouled 24.4% 19.9%
Turnover 16.9% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKLA UNT
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 25.4%