NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKLA WVU
Points 78.5 70.1
Total Points   148.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 29.1 20.8
Points From Free Throws 15.1 14.3
Shooting OKLA WVU
Field Goals Made 26.8 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 54.9
Field Goal % 46.5% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 30.7 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 15.1 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 20.3
Free Throw % 73.5% 70.4%
Ball Control OKLA WVU
Rebounds 36.1 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 7.3
Turnovers 9.8 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.2
Steals 5.9 4.5
Fouls 16.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKLA WVU
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 67.0
% of Possessions with OKLA WVU
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 26.1%
Player Fouled 21.2% 22.9%
Turnover 14.0% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKLA WVU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 21.6%