NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKLA ARK
Points 77.0 73.7
Total Points   150.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 15.2
Points From Free Throws 20.6 18.9
Shooting OKLA ARK
Field Goals Made 24.9 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 55.2
Field Goal % 44.2% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 20.6 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 28.1 24.7
Free Throw % 73.5% 76.5%
Ball Control OKLA ARK
Rebounds 36.8 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 6.8
Turnovers 10.6 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.4 5.3
Steals 4.9 6.3
Fouls 18.3 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Arkansas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKLA ARK
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 70.1
% of Possessions with OKLA ARK
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 21.4%
Player Fouled 25.6% 24.8%
Turnover 14.5% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKLA ARK
Shot Blocked 9.7% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 20.2%