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Michigan St at Wisconsin
Fri Jan 21, 2022
9:00pm ET
Madison, WI
Michigan St at Wisconsin: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wisconsin by 3, Total Points: 139
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSU | adv | WIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-15-1 | 16-19-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 11-12-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 11-7-0 | 8-8-1 | |
| Away | 8-8-1 | 8-11-0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | James Mad | -16.5 | L by 3 | -19.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | S Indiana | -32.0 | W by 23 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Duke | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Butler | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Alcorn St | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | GA Southern | -28.5 | W by 31 | +2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Wisconsin | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Nebraska | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Oakland | -15.5 | W by 17 | +1.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stony Brook | -22.5 | W by 44 | +21.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Indiana St | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Penn St | -13.5 | W by 31 | +17.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Northwestern | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Rutgers | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Maryland | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Michigan | -12.0 | W by 19 | +7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Maryland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Illinois | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Penn St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Michigan | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Ohio St | -10.0 | L by 3 | -13.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Northwestern | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Purdue | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Miss State | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 16 | -12.0 |
Wisconsin Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Arkansas St | -14.0 | W by 29 | +15.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Providence | -1.0 | L by 13 | -14.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Rob Morris | -20.0 | W by 10 | -10.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Virginia | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Methodist | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | W Illinois | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Marquette | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Michigan St | +5.5 | W by 13 | +18.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Arizona | +9.5 | L by 25 | -15.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Jksnville St | -19.0 | W by 15 | -4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | W by 27 | +2.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Iowa | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Nebraska | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Ohio St | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Northwestern | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Penn St | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Indiana | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Minnesota | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Nebraska | (Pick) | L by 8 | -8.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Purdue | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Michigan | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Rutgers | -3.5 | L by 22 | -25.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Ohio St | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Iowa | +1.0 | L by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Maryland | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Indiana | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Illinois | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 12 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 8 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Maryland | -4.0 | W by 31 | +27.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Northwestern | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Purdue | +6.0 | W by 1 | +7.0 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Illinois | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | James Mad | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| WIS -3.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3213 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Wisconsin won the game 1922 times (59.8%).
- The team like Michigan St won the game 1291 times (40.2%).
- The team like Wisconsin did better against the spread, going 1574-1560-79 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1821 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan St did better against the spread, going 950-842-29 (53.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/21 08:58 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 08:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/21 08:45 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/21 08:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/21 08:07 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 07:46 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 07:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/21 07:15 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/21 07:07 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 06:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/21 06:45 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/21 06:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/21 06:43 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 06:16 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 05:46 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 05:25 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/21 05:07 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 04:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/21 04:34 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 04:07 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 03:22 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 02:58 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 01:40 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 12:58 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 12:28 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 11:25 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 10:34 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 10:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/21 10:16 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/21 09:19 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 08:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/21 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/21 08:24 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/21 08:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/21 08:13 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 08:05 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/21 07:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/21 06:35 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/21 06:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/21 06:04 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 02:40 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 01:34 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/20 11:45 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/20 09:31 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 07:10 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 05:19 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/20 04:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/20 03:56 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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