NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORF BRAD
Points 60.3 75.3
Total Points   135.6
Points From 2-Pointers 29.0 26.7
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 33.7
Points From Free Throws 15.8 14.8
Shooting NORF BRAD
Field Goals Made 19.7 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 51.6
Field Goal % 36.3% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 13.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 23.4
2 Point Shooting % 38.4% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 28.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 15.8 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 20.0
Free Throw % 71.8% 74.3%
Ball Control NORF BRAD
Rebounds 31.4 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 20.7 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 9.4
Turnovers 11.1 12.7
Blocked Shots 1.6 4.4
Steals 7.4 5.6
Fouls 15.4 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Bradley

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORF BRAD
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 64.7
% of Possessions with NORF BRAD
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 30.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 36.1%
Player Fouled 22.1% 22.7%
Turnover 16.3% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORF BRAD
Shot Blocked 8.5% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 31.2%