NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SJSU SCU
Points 66.8 79.2
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 25.2
Points From Free Throws 10.3 13.9
Shooting SJSU SCU
Field Goals Made 24.5 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 57.8
Field Goal % 41.9% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 10.3 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 20.0
Free Throw % 68.6% 69.6%
Ball Control SJSU SCU
Rebounds 27.3 42.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 11.9
Turnovers 8.2 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.5
Steals 4.9 3.3
Fouls 15.4 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Santa Clara

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SJSU SCU
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 70.7
% of Possessions with SJSU SCU
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 26.2%
Player Fouled 20.6% 22.2%
Turnover 11.8% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SJSU SCU
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 17.2% 36.2%