NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCG ETSU
Points 72.1 68.5
Total Points   140.6
Points From 2-Pointers 30.2 27.5
Points From 3-Pointers 28.5 25.6
Points From Free Throws 13.4 15.4
Shooting UNCG ETSU
Field Goals Made 24.6 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 56.1
Field Goal % 43.5% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 13.4 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 23.3
Free Throw % 72.8% 66.1%
Ball Control UNCG ETSU
Rebounds 34.8 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 13.7
Turnovers 11.0 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.7
Steals 6.7 6.1
Fouls 15.0 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCG ETSU
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 71.3
% of Possessions with UNCG ETSU
2 Point Attempt 38.9% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 30.8%
Player Fouled 23.1% 21.9%
Turnover 16.0% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCG ETSU
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 35.7%