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NC-Grnsboro at Samford
Sat Jan 16, 2021
3:00pm ET
Birmingham, AL
NC-Grnsboro at Samford: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: UNC Greensboro by 7.5, Total Points: 152
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNCG | adv | SAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-17-0 | 19-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 12-9-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-7-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 8-10-0 | 10-7-0 |
NC-Grnsboro Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Home | NC A&T | -22.0 | W by 16 | -6.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Vanderbilt | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Arkansas | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Kansas City | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Delaware | -3.0 | W by 11 | +8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | IL-Chicago | -3.5 | W by 1 | -2.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | William Peace | -- | W by 32 | -- |
| 12/07 | Home | E Kentucky | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Elon | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Marshall | -1.0 | L by 7 | -8.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | High Point | +3.5 | L by 11 | -7.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Virginia-Lynchburg | -- | W by 78 | -- |
| 12/29 | Away | Texas | +15.5 | L by 35 | -19.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Furman | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | E Tenn St | -7.0 | W by 16 | +9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Samford | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Chattanooga | +1.0 | W by 16 | +17.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Citadel | -11.0 | W by 6 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Wofford | -6.5 | W by 23 | +16.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | W Carolina | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Mercer | -11.5 | L by 6 | -17.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | VMI | -16.0 | W by 6 | -10.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Furman | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Samford | -1.0 | L by 9 | -10.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.5 | L by 28 | -32.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Citadel | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Wofford | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | W Carolina | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Mercer | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | VMI | -23.5 | W by 42 | +18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | E Tenn St | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | E Tenn St | -7.0 | L by 11 | -18.0 |
Samford Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Purdue | +19.5 | L by 53 | -33.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | VCU | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Mississippi College | -- | W by 44 | -- |
| 11/17 | Home | S Car State | -21.0 | W by 17 | -4.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Alabama St | -14.5 | W by 32 | +17.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Merrimack | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | NC A&T | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Louisiana | -3.5 | W by 23 | +19.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | La Grange | -- | W by 46 | -- |
| 12/11 | Home | Alab A&M | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Belmont | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Valparaiso | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | TX Southern | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Chattanooga | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Citadel | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | VMI | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | W Carolina | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Mercer | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Furman | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Tenn St | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wofford | -11.5 | W by 2 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Chattanooga | +1.5 | W by 22 | +23.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | VMI | -19.5 | W by 39 | +19.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | W Carolina | -6.5 | W by 26 | +19.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Mercer | -10.0 | L by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Furman | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | E Tenn St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Wofford | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Citadel | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Mercer | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Furman | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | E Tenn St | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
| UNCG -7.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 930 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like UNC Greensboro won the game 715 times (76.9%).
- The team like Samford won the game 215 times (23.1%).
- The team like UNC Greensboro did better against the spread, going 479-443-8 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 185 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Samford did better against the spread, going 94-84-7 (52.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -7.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/16 02:50 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 12:02 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 11:14 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 10:11 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 09:08 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 06:29 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 01/15 07:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 01/15 07:38 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 06:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 01/15 06:23 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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