NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORF JMU
Points 66.2 79.2
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 30.3
Points From 3-Pointers 14.4 30.7
Points From Free Throws 17.1 18.2
Shooting NORF JMU
Field Goals Made 22.2 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 54.3
Field Goal % 41.5% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 28.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 17.1 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 26.1
Free Throw % 71.8% 69.7%
Ball Control NORF JMU
Rebounds 31.7 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 10.9
Turnovers 12.2 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.1
Steals 6.5 6.8
Fouls 17.0 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Norfolk St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORF JMU
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 70.7
% of Possessions with NORF JMU
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 33.6%
3 Point Attempt 19.8% 31.6%
Player Fouled 23.7% 23.8%
Turnover 17.2% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORF JMU
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 32.4%