NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORF COPP
Points 72.3 55.7
Total Points   128.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 22.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 20.0
Points From Free Throws 17.4 13.5
Shooting NORF COPP
Field Goals Made 24.4 17.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 49.7
Field Goal % 46.0% 35.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 11.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 28.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 38.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 17.4 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 18.7
Free Throw % 71.8% 72.6%
Ball Control NORF COPP
Rebounds 38.2 29.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 20.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 8.7
Turnovers 12.2 15.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.4
Steals 9.9 5.7
Fouls 14.8 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Norfolk St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORF COPP
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 61.8
% of Possessions with NORF COPP
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 36.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 26.8%
Player Fouled 23.5% 21.5%
Turnover 17.7% 23.0%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 14.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORF COPP
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 37.6% 25.1%