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Michigan St at Minnesota
Wed Dec 8, 2021
9:00pm ET
Minneapolis, MN
Michigan St at Minnesota: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan St. by 7, Total Points: 135.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSU | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-15-1 | 25-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 14-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 11-7-0 | 17-3-0 | |
| Away | 8-8-1 | 8-6-0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | James Mad | -16.5 | L by 3 | -19.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | S Indiana | -32.0 | W by 23 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Duke | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Butler | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Alcorn St | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | GA Southern | -28.5 | W by 31 | +2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Wisconsin | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Nebraska | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Oakland | -15.5 | W by 17 | +1.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stony Brook | -22.5 | W by 44 | +21.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Indiana St | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Penn St | -13.5 | W by 31 | +17.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Northwestern | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Rutgers | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Maryland | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Michigan | -12.0 | W by 19 | +7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Maryland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Illinois | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Penn St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Michigan | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Ohio St | -10.0 | L by 3 | -13.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Northwestern | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Purdue | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Miss State | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 16 | -12.0 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Beth-Cook | -17.0 | W by 20 | +3.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | UTSA | -12.0 | W by 26 | +14.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Missouri | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | SC Upstate | -12.5 | W by 14 | +1.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -18.5 | W by 19 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | San Francisco | +5.0 | L by 18 | -13.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | New Orleans | -12.0 | W by 33 | +21.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.5 | L by 10 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Nebraska | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -8.5 | W by 20 | +11.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | IUPUI | -22.5 | W by 36 | +13.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Ball St | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Maine | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Michigan | +5.5 | W by 2 | +7.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Maryland | -1.5 | W by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Indiana | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Iowa | -3.0 | L by 9 | -12.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 10 | +2.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Wisconsin | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Penn St | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Northwestern | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Iowa | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Purdue | +16.5 | L by 8 | +8.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Rutgers | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Nebraska | +7.0 | L by 18 | -11.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Illinois | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Penn St | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | L by 12 | -17.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Northwestern | +4.5 | L by 24 | -19.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | +7.0 | L by 10 | -3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Butler | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Indiana St | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
| MSU -7.0 | Open | -6.0 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -7.5 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1004 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan St won the game 736 times (73.3%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 268 times (26.7%).
- The team like Michigan St did better against the spread, going 491-488-25 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2924 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan St did better against the spread, going 1450-1417-57 (50.6% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.5 | -7.0 |
| Open | -5.5 | -5.5 | -6.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/08 08:58 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:04 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:49 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:14 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:47 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 05:53 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 05:19 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 04:59 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 04:29 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 04:05 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 12/08 03:47 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 03:31 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/08 03:02 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:35 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 12/08 12:32 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:29 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:55 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 12/08 11:47 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 12/08 10:28 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:19 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 12/08 09:59 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:58 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 05:56 AM | -6.5 | -- | -6.5 |
| 12/07 08:10 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 08:10 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/07 06:57 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 05:47 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
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