NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SJSU OAK
Points 69.5 78.0
Total Points   147.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 29.0 29.3
Points From Free Throws 8.0 14.9
Shooting SJSU OAK
Field Goals Made 25.9 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 58.1
Field Goal % 43.8% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 41.3%
Free Throws Made 8.0 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 11.6 19.5
Free Throw % 68.6% 76.4%
Ball Control SJSU OAK
Rebounds 30.8 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 10.2
Turnovers 9.3 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.5
Steals 4.0 4.7
Fouls 14.2 11.9

Playing Style Advantage: Oakland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SJSU OAK
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 70.0
% of Possessions with SJSU OAK
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 36.3% 29.7%
Player Fouled 17.4% 20.8%
Turnover 13.5% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SJSU OAK
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 30.2%