NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORF RAD
Points 70.4 70.5
Total Points   140.9
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 29.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 27.1
Points From Free Throws 14.3 14.0
Shooting NORF RAD
Field Goals Made 25.1 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 54.0
Field Goal % 43.1% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 14.3 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 19.0
Free Throw % 71.8% 73.7%
Ball Control NORF RAD
Rebounds 34.3 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 10.5
Turnovers 8.7 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.4
Steals 5.6 4.1
Fouls 14.5 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORF RAD
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 66.2
% of Possessions with NORF RAD
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 30.2%
Player Fouled 22.3% 21.5%
Turnover 13.0% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORF RAD
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 32.8% 31.9%