NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SJSU RAD
Points 70.4 71.5
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.5 23.0
Points From Free Throws 8.4 11.8
Shooting SJSU RAD
Field Goals Made 26.5 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 57.6
Field Goal % 45.0% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.7 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 8.4 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 12.3 16.0
Free Throw % 68.6% 73.7%
Ball Control SJSU RAD
Rebounds 31.7 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 10.3
Turnovers 8.0 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.9
Steals 3.6 3.5
Fouls 12.5 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SJSU RAD
Total Possessions 66.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 67.5
% of Possessions with SJSU RAD
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 35.4% 24.8%
Player Fouled 19.0% 18.9%
Turnover 12.2% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SJSU RAD
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 30.5%