NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORF DSU
Points 71.6 63.9
Total Points   135.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 30.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 15.4
Points From Free Throws 15.9 18.2
Shooting NORF DSU
Field Goals Made 24.5 20.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 50.3
Field Goal % 45.4% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 42.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 15.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 15.9 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 25.2
Free Throw % 71.8% 72.3%
Ball Control NORF DSU
Rebounds 33.7 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 10.8
Turnovers 12.5 14.6
Blocked Shots 2.9 1.5
Steals 7.8 6.2
Fouls 17.0 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORF DSU
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 66.7
% of Possessions with NORF DSU
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 18.2%
Player Fouled 22.6% 24.1%
Turnover 17.7% 20.7%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORF DSU
Shot Blocked 3.1% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 31.8%