NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCUS FUR
Points 71.5 79.3
Total Points   150.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.4 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 26.9
Points From Free Throws 10.5 17.3
Shooting SCUS FUR
Field Goals Made 27.1 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 58.1
Field Goal % 46.5% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 27.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 10.5 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 23.9
Free Throw % 64.0% 72.6%
Ball Control SCUS FUR
Rebounds 30.2 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 11.7
Turnovers 10.6 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.6
Steals 6.3 6.1
Fouls 15.7 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: SC Upstate

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCUS FUR
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 72.8
% of Possessions with SCUS FUR
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 35.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 32.5%
Player Fouled 20.7% 21.8%
Turnover 14.7% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCUS FUR
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 33.3%