NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCUS HP
Points 69.4 82.0
Total Points   151.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 19.9
Points From Free Throws 13.1 25.2
Shooting SCUS HP
Field Goals Made 25.1 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 54.0
Field Goal % 43.8% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 13.1 25.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 32.4
Free Throw % 64.0% 77.9%
Ball Control SCUS HP
Rebounds 26.4 42.9
Rebounds - Defensive 19.4 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 13.6
Turnovers 9.0 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.1
Steals 4.9 4.6
Fouls 19.9 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: High Point

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCUS HP
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 74.3
% of Possessions with SCUS HP
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 24.0%
Player Fouled 23.3% 27.9%
Turnover 12.7% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCUS HP
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 41.3%