NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORF HAMP
Points 73.6 64.9
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 25.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 24.0
Points From Free Throws 14.7 15.7
Shooting NORF HAMP
Field Goals Made 26.3 20.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 53.0
Field Goal % 43.6% 38.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 12.6
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 27.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 14.7 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 21.6
Free Throw % 71.8% 72.7%
Ball Control NORF HAMP
Rebounds 37.6 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 9.7
Turnovers 8.9 13.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.4
Steals 8.1 4.1
Fouls 16.0 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Hampton

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORF HAMP
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.9 66.6
% of Possessions with NORF HAMP
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 34.5%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 31.0%
Player Fouled 20.7% 22.9%
Turnover 12.7% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 11.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORF HAMP
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 27.1%