NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SJSU UNLV
Points 63.5 76.3
Total Points   139.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 20.8
Points From Free Throws 8.2 15.8
Shooting SJSU UNLV
Field Goals Made 23.7 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 54.0
Field Goal % 41.5% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 8.2 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 11.9 21.6
Free Throw % 68.6% 73.0%
Ball Control SJSU UNLV
Rebounds 28.5 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.4
Turnovers 9.9 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.8
Steals 4.3 4.1
Fouls 14.9 11.7

Playing Style Advantage: San Jose St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SJSU UNLV
Total Possessions 66.5
Effective Scoring Chances 64.0 67.0
% of Possessions with SJSU UNLV
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 22.7%
Player Fouled 17.6% 22.5%
Turnover 14.9% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SJSU UNLV
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 31.0%