NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCUS WEBB
Points 68.4 73.1
Total Points   141.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 20.9
Points From Free Throws 12.3 16.6
Shooting SCUS WEBB
Field Goals Made 24.8 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 55.1
Field Goal % 43.9% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 12.3 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 27.0
Free Throw % 64.0% 61.5%
Ball Control SCUS WEBB
Rebounds 31.5 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 11.9
Turnovers 10.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.4
Steals 6.0 5.4
Fouls 17.0 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: SC Upstate

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCUS WEBB
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 71.9
% of Possessions with SCUS WEBB
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 22.8%
Player Fouled 23.0% 23.8%
Turnover 14.5% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCUS WEBB
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 32.7%