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Michigan St at Maryland
Sat Feb 29, 2020
8:00pm ET
College Park, MD
Michigan St at Maryland: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Maryland by 2, Total Points: 138
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSU | adv | MD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-15-1 | 13-20-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 9-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 11-7-0 | 6-11-0 | |
| Away | 8-8-1 | 7-9-0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | James Mad | -16.5 | L by 3 | -19.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | S Indiana | -32.0 | W by 23 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Duke | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Butler | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Alcorn St | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | GA Southern | -28.5 | W by 31 | +2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Wisconsin | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Nebraska | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Oakland | -15.5 | W by 17 | +1.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stony Brook | -22.5 | W by 44 | +21.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Indiana St | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Penn St | -13.5 | W by 31 | +17.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Northwestern | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Rutgers | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Maryland | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Michigan | -12.0 | W by 19 | +7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Maryland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Illinois | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Penn St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Michigan | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Ohio St | -10.0 | L by 3 | -13.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Northwestern | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Purdue | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Miss State | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 16 | -12.0 |
Maryland Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Mt St Marys | -20.5 | W by 15 | -5.5 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Davidson | -11.5 | L by 3 | -14.5 |
| 11/12 | Neutral | UAB | -6.0 | L by 3 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Villanova | +6.5 | L by 17 | -10.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Maryland BC | -19.0 | W by 24 | +5.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | S Alabama | -15.0 | W by 13 | -2.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Rider | -17.0 | W by 27 | +10.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Alcorn St | -23.0 | W by 40 | +17.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Nicholls | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | UCLA | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Coppin St | -29.5 | W by 22 | -7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Purdue | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois | +9.0 | W by 9 | +18.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Northwestern | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Michigan St | +1.0 | L by 2 | -1.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Iowa | +5.0 | W by 2 | +7.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Nebraska | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Rutgers | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Iowa | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Rutgers | +2.0 | W by 17 | +19.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Indiana | -9.0 | L by 5 | -14.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Penn St | -1.5 | L by 16 | -17.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Rutgers | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +4.0 | L by 31 | -27.0 |
| MD -2.0 | Open | -2.5 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2945 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Maryland won the game 1678 times (57.0%).
- The team like Michigan St won the game 1267 times (43.0%).
- The team like Maryland did better against the spread, going 1460-1420-65 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4973 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan St did better against the spread, going 2455-2418-100 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.0 |
| Open | -3.0 | -2.5 | -3.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/29 08:06 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 02/29 07:41 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 07:40 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 07:34 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 02/29 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 02/29 06:49 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 05:42 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 05:40 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 02/29 05:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 02/29 04:32 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 02:35 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 02/29 02:29 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 01:19 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 01:05 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/29 12:37 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 12:03 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 11:44 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 11:01 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 09:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 09:11 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 08:42 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 06:55 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 01:55 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/29 01:35 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/29 01:13 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 02/28 07:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
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