NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCG WOF
Points 76.0 70.6
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 27.9 27.3
Points From 3-Pointers 35.8 32.1
Points From Free Throws 12.4 11.2
Shooting UNCG WOF
Field Goals Made 25.9 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 55.7
Field Goal % 44.4% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 13.6
2 Pointers Attempted 29.3 26.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 29.0 29.2
3 Point Shooting % 41.1% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 12.4 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 18.1
Free Throw % 72.8% 61.9%
Ball Control UNCG WOF
Rebounds 34.2 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.5
Turnovers 8.2 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.3 1.9
Steals 6.5 3.6
Fouls 15.1 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: NC-Grnsboro

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCG WOF
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 67.4
% of Possessions with UNCG WOF
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 33.4%
3 Point Attempt 37.3% 36.9%
Player Fouled 21.7% 22.2%
Turnover 12.1% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCG WOF
Shot Blocked 3.5% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 29.7%