NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORF GRAM
Points 68.5 64.6
Total Points   133.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 29.3
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 18.7
Points From Free Throws 15.9 16.5
Shooting NORF GRAM
Field Goals Made 23.6 20.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 48.8
Field Goal % 43.1% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 16.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 15.9 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 23.4
Free Throw % 71.8% 70.7%
Ball Control NORF GRAM
Rebounds 34.1 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 8.9
Turnovers 10.6 13.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.1
Steals 7.3 5.5
Fouls 15.4 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Grambling St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORF GRAM
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 63.6
% of Possessions with NORF GRAM
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.3% 20.7%
Player Fouled 22.2% 22.6%
Turnover 15.6% 19.5%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORF GRAM
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 28.0%