NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORF CWM
Points 72.9 65.5
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 40.8 19.0
Points From 3-Pointers 15.9 31.1
Points From Free Throws 16.1 15.5
Shooting NORF CWM
Field Goals Made 25.7 19.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 51.5
Field Goal % 47.8% 38.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 9.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 20.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 31.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 16.1 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 22.9
Free Throw % 71.8% 67.7%
Ball Control NORF CWM
Rebounds 34.5 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 10.3
Turnovers 8.7 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.7 1.8
Steals 6.8 3.8
Fouls 16.6 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Norfolk St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORF CWM
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 65.8
% of Possessions with NORF CWM
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 25.5%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 39.6%
Player Fouled 24.0% 24.6%
Turnover 12.9% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORF CWM
Shot Blocked 3.5% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 28.9%