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Michigan St vs. Kentucky
Tue Nov 5, 2019
9:30pm ET
New York, NY
(Neutral Site)
Michigan St vs. Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan St. by 3, Total Points: 140.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSU | adv | UK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-15-1 | 18-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 10-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 11-7-0 | 8-10-0 | |
| Away | 8-8-1 | 10-5-0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | James Mad | -16.5 | L by 3 | -19.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | S Indiana | -32.0 | W by 23 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Duke | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Butler | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Alcorn St | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | GA Southern | -28.5 | W by 31 | +2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Wisconsin | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Nebraska | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Oakland | -15.5 | W by 17 | +1.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stony Brook | -22.5 | W by 44 | +21.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Indiana St | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Penn St | -13.5 | W by 31 | +17.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Northwestern | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Rutgers | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Maryland | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Michigan | -12.0 | W by 19 | +7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Maryland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Illinois | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Penn St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Michigan | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Ohio St | -10.0 | L by 3 | -13.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Northwestern | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Purdue | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Miss State | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 16 | -12.0 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Mex State | -15.0 | W by 40 | +25.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -29.0 | W by 20 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Stonehill | -37.5 | W by 34 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | St Josephs | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Marshall | -18.5 | W by 36 | +17.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Miami | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -18.0 | L by 7 | -25.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | U Penn | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Illinois St | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Florida | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Miss State | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Georgia | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Arkansas | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Florida | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Tennessee | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Gonzaga | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | W by 11 | +19.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | LSU | -6.5 | L by 1 | -7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 22 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Miss State | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.0 | W by 16 | -2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Tennessee | +8.5 | W by 4 | +12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Oakland | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| MSU -3.0 | Open | -2.0 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1697 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan St won the game 984 times (58.0%).
- The team like Kentucky won the game 713 times (42.0%).
- The team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 828-826-43 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2488 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 1252-1191-45 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 |
| Open | -3.0 | -2.5 | -3.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/05 09:42 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 09:25 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/05 09:08 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 07:39 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 06:59 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 06:35 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/05 01:59 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 12:13 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 11:47 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/05 09:13 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/05 08:46 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/05 07:12 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 02:55 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 10:44 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 09:01 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 08:36 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 06:45 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 05:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/04 05:15 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 05:15 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/04 05:09 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 04:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/04 04:06 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 03:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/04 03:37 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 11:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
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