NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORF NW
Points 63.7 79.0
Total Points   142.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 28.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 32.6
Points From Free Throws 14.9 17.8
Shooting NORF NW
Field Goals Made 21.8 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 50.6 52.2
Field Goal % 43.1% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 27.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 43.8%
Free Throws Made 14.9 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 23.6
Free Throw % 71.8% 75.6%
Ball Control NORF NW
Rebounds 28.8 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 8.5
Turnovers 11.4 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.8
Steals 5.6 5.8
Fouls 18.1 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Northwestern

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORF NW
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 62.9 66.4
% of Possessions with NORF NW
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 35.6%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 32.3%
Player Fouled 22.9% 26.9%
Turnover 16.9% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORF NW
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 28.1%