NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORF COOK
Points 72.6 66.5
Total Points   139.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 18.7
Points From Free Throws 22.0 18.3
Shooting NORF COOK
Field Goals Made 22.6 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 49.9 51.8
Field Goal % 45.2% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 43.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 22.0 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 30.7 24.1
Free Throw % 71.8% 75.9%
Ball Control NORF COOK
Rebounds 35.0 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.4
Turnovers 12.6 13.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.4
Steals 8.5 7.1
Fouls 16.6 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Beth-Cook

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORF COOK
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 67.1
% of Possessions with NORF COOK
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 22.3%
Player Fouled 27.2% 23.3%
Turnover 17.7% 18.9%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 11.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORF COOK
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 27.5%