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Michigan St at Michigan
Thu Mar 4, 2021
7:00pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
Michigan St at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 12, Total Points: 139.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSU | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-15-1 | 8-24-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 4-17-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 11-7-0 | 5-10-0 | |
| Away | 8-8-1 | 3-14-0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | James Mad | -16.5 | L by 3 | -19.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | S Indiana | -32.0 | W by 23 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Duke | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Butler | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Alcorn St | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | GA Southern | -28.5 | W by 31 | +2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Wisconsin | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Nebraska | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Oakland | -15.5 | W by 17 | +1.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stony Brook | -22.5 | W by 44 | +21.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Indiana St | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Penn St | -13.5 | W by 31 | +17.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Northwestern | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Rutgers | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Maryland | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Michigan | -12.0 | W by 19 | +7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Maryland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Illinois | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Penn St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Michigan | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Ohio St | -10.0 | L by 3 | -13.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Northwestern | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Purdue | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Miss State | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 16 | -12.0 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| MICH -12.0 | Open | -12.5 | High | -12.5 |
| Last | -11.5 | Low | -11.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1640 games where the closing line favored the home team by 11 to 13 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 1449 times (88.4%).
- The team like Michigan St won the game 191 times (11.6%).
- The team like Michigan St did better against the spread, going 806-798-36 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 494 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 252-240-2 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -12.0 | -11.5 | -12.0 |
| Open | -12.0 | -12.0 | -12.0 |
| History | |||
| 03/04 06:59 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:54 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 03/04 06:44 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:25 PM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 03/04 05:50 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 05:45 PM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 03/04 05:26 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 04:29 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 03:55 PM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 03/04 03:53 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 02:41 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 01:44 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 01:20 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 12:56 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 12:14 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:17 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 09:53 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 09:20 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 07:29 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 02:50 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 01:32 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 10:45 PM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 03/03 10:14 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 07:47 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 07:05 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 06:34 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 03/03 06:04 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 03/03 05:56 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 04:44 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 03/03 04:35 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
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